9 questions about Syria you were too embarrassed to ask
By Max Fisher, Published: August 29 at 12:50 pm
Ｗａｐｏがシリアがどうなるか、解説しているのですが、
The military options are all bad. Shipping arms to rebels, even if it helps them topple Assad, would ultimately empower jihadists and worsen rebel in-fighting, probably leading to lots of chaos and possibly a second civil war (the United States made this mistake during Afghanistan’s 1980s civil war, which helped the Taliban take power in the 1990s). Taking out Assad somehow would probably do the same, opening up a dangerous power vacuum
反政府軍に武器供与すると、タリバンに力を与えてしまったように、聖戦主義者の力がまし、内乱が悪化するし、アサドを追い出したところで、力の空白できて、混乱が続くのは同じことで、
9. Hi, there was too much text so I skipped to the bottom to find the big take-away. What’s going to happen?
Short-term maybe the U.S. and some allies will launch some limited, brief strikes against Syria and maybe they won’t. Either way, these things seem pretty certain in the long-term:
• The killing will continue, probably for years. There’s no one to sign a peace treaty on the rebel side, even if the regime side were interested, and there’s no foreseeable victory for either. Refugees will continue fleeing into neighboring countries, causing instability and an entire other humanitarian crisis as conditions in the camps worsen.
シリアを攻撃してもしなくても、虐殺は何年も続き、反政府側は、平和協定の調停には乗らないだろうし、その間、難民は増え続けるだろう、とーーーー非常に暗澹たるシナリオを描いております。
