フォロー
suzuky
@suzuky
日中防空圏、これなんかまだマシな分析。BBC News - Viewpoints: China air zone tensions http://bbc.in/1890vcZ
28 November 2013 Last updated at 10:18 GMT Share this pageEmailPrint
13
ShareFacebookTwitter
Viewpoints: China air zone tensions
Overview: James Manicom
China's ADIZ announcement suggests that Chinese leaders are only interested in talks with Japan under conditions including parity in authority exercised over the surrounding seas and an admission by Japan that a dispute exists over the islands.
Neither of these conditions is acceptable to Tokyo, which has offered to concede that the two have a territorial "problem" rather than a dispute
Continued Japanese restraint in the face of Chinese efforts to modify the status quo is currently keeping the peace, potentially to the detriment of Japan's claim to the islands and its ability to use the surrounding sea area. It is not clear that the Abe administration will tolerate this situation indefinitely.
第3者的立場から、といったところでしょうか。
中国としては、尖閣について、係争地であることをみとめさせたいのだけど、日本としては、問題はあっても、係争地ではない、と。
いまのところ、日本が抑制的対応をしているから、平和を保っているが、安倍がどれだけ根気よくつきあっていられるかどうか、それはわからん、と。
China: Victor Gao
Japan seems to ignore the fact that it has demarcated a similar identification zone in the East China Sea for years, and has expanded this zone over the years. In fact, the western-most line of Japan's zone stretches all the way to China and is only about 135km from China's coast at the closest point.
In recent years, Japan has on many occasions scrambled fighter planes to warn off Chinese planes when they entered the Japanese zone, as if the zone were Japan's territorial space. In a sense, China's announcement of an identification zone is in response to Japan's abusive use of its zone to start with.
However, the fundamental reason for the deterioration of relations between Japan and its two important neighbours, China and South Korea, is because Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and many Japanese politicians still refuse to acknowledge war atrocities.
They deny the existence of the Nanjing Massacre, they claim the Korean sex slaves worked voluntarily, they continue to worship at the Yasukuni Shrine. They also want to abandon the peace commitment set out in the Japanese constitution, and rearm.
Although Japan is doing its utmost to tie the United States to its bandwagon, China and the US are significantly increasing their military co-operation and strategic dialogue.
After all, China and the US shed blood together to defeat Japan in WWII, and, with increasing dialogue and confidence-building measures between Beijing and Washington, it is highly unlikely that the US will shed blood to encourage or even to protect a militarising Japan.
これは、中国側からの言い分で、日本だって、防空識別地域を拡張してきて、スクランブルかけてきたじゃないか、こうした防空圏の濫用がそもそもの問題であるが、より根本的には、南京虐殺を否定したり、韓国慰安婦は自発的であるといったり、靖国参拝したり、といった歴史問題が問題である。さらに、米中とは戦勝国同士で、仲良くやっており、アメリカが日本の軍事化を認めるわけはなかろう、と。
Japan: Tetsuo Kotani
The ownership of the Senkaku Islands was reaffirmed under the 1951 San Francisco Peace Treaty, which demarcated Japan's territory after World War II, and the 1971 US-Japan Okinawa Reversion Treaty, which returned the administrative rights of Okinawa, including the Senkaku Islands, from the United States to Japan.
By challenging Japan's control of the islands, China is attempting to introduce a new regional order that favours it. As long as Beijing remains revisionist, it will not be easy to improve relations between Tokyo and Beijing.
The announcement of China's air defence identification zone (ADIZ) has no legal effect but is an unnecessary provocation. First, it covers the Senkaku Islands, which are under the administration of Japan. Second, it overlaps with Japan's ADIZ. Third, China has announced that all aircraft are obliged to observe Chinese regulations. These measures are totally against international practices. The announcement will simply increase existing tensions in the East China Sea and the chance of clashes.
If China implements its ADIZ, it is likely that there will be frequent encounters between Japanese and Chinese fighters in the overlapping zones. It is also likely that Washington will implement the freedom of navigation programme, its policy of asserting its navigational rights, by sending aircraft into China's ADIZ to challenge China's excessive claims. The worst-case-scenario is a collision that could escalate into a larger conflict if managed badly.
In order to ease tensions, Beijing should stop its provocative and coercive measures. These measures will not bring any compromise from Tokyo. Instead, Beijing should preserve international laws and norms, and take peaceful measures to resolve the competing claims.
これは、日本側の主張で、中国は国際法規、国際的慣習・規範を守って、平和的に対話に臨みなさい、と。
US: Michael Swaine
And as indicated, much will depend on how the Chinese implement the ADIZ. At the very least, the Chinese need to clarify, authoritatively, how they will treat surveillance aircraft and other potentially "threatening" (from their viewpoint) military aircraft that are transiting the zone but not heading toward Chinese airspace. Thus far, Chinese efforts at clarification have been unsuccessful.
アメリカとしては、防空識別権について中国がどのように運用するか明確にしてもらわないと、困る、と。
Asean: Lye Liang Fook
Neither Asean nor any of its 10 member states has responded to China's ADIZ. This is not surprising as the resolution of the islands issue primarily rests with China and Japan.
However, Asean members do have an interest in regional stability. Their preference seems to be for China and Japan to meet at the negotiating table to sort out any differences rather than for them to constantly test each other at sea or in the air.
There are some who speculate that China could follow up by introducing a similar ADIZ over disputed parts of the South China Sea (SCS). In particular, China could mark a zone that is in dispute with the Philippines in order to force the latter to withdraw its submission against China at the international arbitration tribunal.
If China did so, it is very likely to lose a lot of the credibility that it has painstaking built up since a fresh set of leaders took over the helm in China this year. More recently, in October 2013, President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang visited five Asean countries and made numerous proposals to further deepen ties.
アセアンは今のところ中立的だが、しかし、南シナ海などに同様な防空識別圏を設定したら、アセアンからの信頼を失うだろう、と。
中国は歴史にからめて、同じ戦勝国として、米中そして、同じ被害者として、中韓を結びつけ、日本と対抗しようとしていることは明らかで、日本はこれに対して徹底的に抗戦すべきであるが、問題は、一部の右翼のやり方が、国際的にはすべて裏目にでている、ということである。むしろ、むこうの批判の基準は受け入れてそれを逆手にとって、こちらから攻め込んでいくべきだ。
（１） 南京虐殺はあった。正確な被害者数はわかならい。 南京虐殺を含めて、日本は大戦での甚大な被害をもたらしたことを反省し、謝罪する。（政府見解）
（２） 日本、韓国、米国は、社会経済的に他にすべのない日本人・韓国人・ベトナム人女性などを慰安婦にし、搾取した。
戦場周辺では、数多くの強姦事件もあった。
日本はその歴史に直面し謝罪と補償を申し出たが、韓国、米国はいまだこの歴史を直視していない。
（３） 日本には政教分離の原則があり、また、中国とちがって、信教の自由があるから、個人としての参拝にとやかくいうことはできない。
こうしたことはことあるごとに主張していくべきだ。
