経済制裁は、効果がなく、苦しむのは庶民ーーーこれはよく言われていること。
しかし、
ELEPHANTS IN THE ROOM
Give ‘Maximum Pressure’ a Chance
Too much engagement with North Korea could derail the White House’s promising approach.
BY DANIEL BLUMENTHAL | FEBRUARY 15, 2018, 5:38 PM
For over two decades, the United States made idle threats that it would never accept a nuclear North Korea, and it made various private promises of the same kind to Japan and South Korea. To this end, the United States implemented scattershot sanctions and other punishments, then proceeded to overturn many of them during periods in which Pyongyang and Washington were engaged in negotiations. Indeed, the United States transferred substantial money and aid to the North Korean regime and engaged in “strategic patience” — tantamount to a policy of negligence
This brings us to the matter that has become the latest obsession of the media and many pundits: war with North Korea. The United States has the difficult job of generating credible military options to remove North Korean threats to the United States and its Asian allies, while also changing China’s risk calculations and reassuring a very progressive South Korean government. The fact is, while implementing maximum pressure is the main goal of the Trump administration, it must also create and debate military options for a number of contingencies that all parties are hoping to avoid. The White House is doing this because, as Gen. Joseph Dunford, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said at the 2017 Aspen Security Forum, “it is not unimaginable to have military options to respond to North Korean nuclear capability. What’s unimaginable to me is allowing a capability that would allow a nuclear weapon to land in Denver, Colorado. That’s unimaginable to me. So my job will be to develop military options to make sure that doesn’t happen.” Yet formulating military options and engaging in military pressure is a far cry from preparing for a preventative nuclear attack.
戦略的忍耐で、北朝鮮にチャンスは与えてきた。
北朝鮮にデンバーやコロラドに核攻撃する能力を持たせてはいけない。
戦争は避けるべきだが、準備はして、最大限の圧力を加えるしか方法はないではないか、と。
ーーー対話もいいですけどね。
対話はずっとしてきたけど、失敗だったわけですね。
で、いまは、
１）北朝鮮には核武装を実質許し、日本人は、北朝鮮の核に怯えて生活する
２）北朝鮮をはじめ、世界各国の核武装を許す。
３）戦争も辞さない覚悟で、圧力をかけて、北朝鮮に核開発をやめさせる
という選択肢になってきている。
共産党系の人たちは実質１）の選択肢で満足なのでしょう。しかし、１）は２）になる可能性が非常に大きいのであります。
