Japanese and Koreans invaded Asia. We apologize.

Bolton: we want to see real commitment. We don't want to see propaganda from North Korea.

2018年04月30日 08時56分17秒 | Weblog




タカ派云々と揶揄されるんだけど、現状認識に関して、ボルトンさんは、基本的に間違っていない、と俺なんかは思うんだがなあ。
ボルトンさんが、拉致問題に言及してくれている、というのは頼もしいかぎり。



BRENNAN: Good morning and welcome to "Face the Nation." I'm Margaret Brennan. We've got a lot to cover today and we begin with President Trump's new national security adviser, former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Welcome to the program.

BOLTON: Glad to be with you.

BRENNAN: You're just about three weeks on the job now you have this South Korean led diplomatic breakthrough. Do you believe that Kim Jong Un is ready to negotiate away his weapons or is he just trying to soften his image?


BOLTON: Well I don't think we know at this point. I think if he has made a strategic determination that- that North Korea would be better off without nuclear weapons then I think we've got something to talk about and I think the president would be eager to capitalize on the opportunity. But I think it's clear we're here where we are today because of the pressure that the Trump administration has put on North Korea. Economic pressure, political, military pressure. I think this is widely recognized president Moon of South Korea himself has repeatedly said the opportunities for the Olympics, the opportunity for the North-South summit would not have occurred without this pressure campaign. The Prime Ministers of Japan and Australia, the president of France, the chancellor of Germany have all said the same thing. So that's why we're here now. And I think it's up to the North Koreans to show us that they really do intend to give up nuclear weapons.


BRENNAN: Well arguably North Korea also walks in in a position of some strength- economic weakness perhaps but this nuclear program is further along than any past administration has encountered. So are-

BOLTON: Well because of the mistakes of 25 years of past administrations-

BRENNAN: -but is it a requirement that Kim Jong Un agree to give away those weapons before you give any kind of concession?

BOLTON: I think that's right. I think we're looking at the Libya model of 2003, 2004. We're also looking at what North Korea itself has committed to previously and most importantly I think going back over a quarter of a century to the 1992 joint North-South denuclearization agreement where North Korea committed to give up nuclear weapons and committed to give up uranium enrichment and plutonium reprocessing. Now we've got other issues to discuss as well; their ballistic missile programs, their biological and chemical weapons programs, their keeping of American hostages, the abduction of innocent Japanese and South Korean citizens over the years. So there's a lot to talk about.

BRENNAN: Will the U.S. accept this invitation from the North to inspect their nuclear site when it's taken down in May as promised?

BOLTON: Well we'll see exactly what that is, you know the-the

BRENNAN: Well the South says that's what the North promised

BOLTON: the North- the North. Well it's- it's interesting because we've been to this place before. I hope it's a sincere commitment by the North. But I'll just read you a sentence if I may.

NYT JUNE 27, 2008

"In a gesture demonstrating its commitment to halt its nuclear weapons program, North Korea blew up the most prominent symbol of its plutonium production Friday. The destruction of the cooling tower bore witness to the incremental progress that has been made and U.S. led multilateral efforts to end North Korea's nuclear weapons program." June 27, 2008, New York Times. Now the selfsame New York Times last month reported that President Trump is going to have difficulty with North Korea because new satellite evidence suggests that North Korea is expanding its plutonium production.



So- we want to see real commitment. We don't want to see propaganda from North Korea.

BRENNAN: You haven't seen such act-actions so far?

BOLTON: We've seen words-

BRENNAN: No dismantlement?

BOLTON: We've seen words so far.

BRENNAN: Continued development.

BOLTON: You've- They've said that they're going to give up nuclear testing and ballistic missile testing. They haven't conducted any recently. That's true. That could be a very positive sign or it could be a sign that they've reached the level of development where they don't need testing now. We've seen this in other contexts as well. President Trump is determined to see this opportunity through. Hopeful that we can get a real breakthrough, but we're not naive in the in the administration and-and a lot's going to ride on this meeting with with Kim Jong Un.




BRENNAN: So there are these headlines that-- from South Korea saying Kim Jong Un would abandon his weapons if the U.S. promises not to invade his country. Are you going to make any kind of promise like that?

BOLTON: Well, we've heard this before. This is- the North Korean propaganda playbook is an infinitely rich resource.

BRENNAN: But it puts a burden on the United States.

BOLTON: I don't think it does really. I think that if you look at the decision to give up nuclear weapons as a real strategic decision that North Korea has to make. What we want to see from them is evidence that it's real and not just rhetoric. In the case of Libya for example and it's a different situation in some respects those negotiations were carried out in private they were not known publicly. But one thing that Libya did that led us to overcome our skepticism was that they allowed American and British observers into all their nuclear related sites. So it wasn't a question of relying on international mechanisms. We saw them in ways we had never seen before.

BRENNAN: That sounds like you want inspections beca- before any kind of sanctions relief.

BOLT: Well I think it would be a manifestation of the strategic decision to give up nuclear weapons doesn't have to be the same as Libya but it's got to be something concrete and tangible it may be that Kim Jong Un has some ideas and we should hear him out.

BRENNAN: According to CBS' reporting, Singapore is the preferred location for this meeting between President Trump and Kim Jong un. When will you make this determination on location and how important is it?

BOLTON: Well I think that the when- when the present is ready to announce that he'll announce it. We're still working on the location. We're still working on the date.

BRENNAN: He said within the next few weeks. Three to four.

BOLTON: He- the president is ready to go on this. And- and so we're eager to come to a conclusion so we can do all the logistical planning but I don't want to preempt any any news that that he may want to make. We just don't have we don't have it pinned down yet.

BRENNAN: Is there any update on the three Americans that are being held prisoner in North Korea? I mean are they essentially going to be held hostage to the success of this diplomacy or do they need to be released before the president walks into that room?

BOLTON: Well I don't want to get into the discussions that-that we've had. I'll just say this. These three Americans are at the top of the president's mind. And in- in exchanges between normal nations these people wouldn't even be held. So I think North Korea should look at this very seriously.

BRENNAN: This is a gesture though that they're not required to take before the meeting?

BOLTON: It would be a demonstration of their sincerity. We're waiting to see what their decision is.

BRENNAN: Can you tell us anything about their status?

BOLTON: Well I'd rather not get into the discussions-- at this point but it's very much on the president's mind.

BRENNAN: I want to ask you as well about this other big decision upcoming on the Iran nuclear deal. You've been very public in the past about your skepticism and it's led diplomats in private to say and to question whether you're going to be a broker here who could actually present another option to the president. If the Europeans can pull off a side deal a fix to the nuclear plant, do you actually think it's possible to keep it?



BOLTON: Well it's the president's decision. I mean one thing people have to keep in mind is that I've changed roles here. When I was a private citizen I could say whatever I've wanted to it was a great a great luxury but --

BRENNAN: In March you said it cannot be improved and it simply blew smoke and mirrors to think we can fix it. That wasn't that long ago.

BOLTON: So I don't - What I said was what I believed I don't back away from them. But that's not my job now. My job is to give advice to the president. He'll make that decision. It's his call. I'm the national security adviser not the national security decision maker. And in fact on the Iran nuclear deal issue I have presented him with options and I'll continue to do it right up until he makes the decision. I think that's critical for the proper functioning of the national security system and it's my obligation to do that.

BRENNAN: So if Secretary Pompeo can craft a side deal you are open to accepting and to keeping the Iran nuclear deal?

BOLTON: I think it's a question of the president being open to make the final decision. It's the job of his advisers to give advice. He's the decision maker.

BRENNAN: So is the U.S. put sanctions back on Iran on May 12th, does that mean the U.S. has withdrawn?

BOLTON: Well there are a variety of things that could happen and I don't want to get into a discussion of what the hypotheticals might be but certainly withdrawal is under consideration. The president has said this repeatedly. His views on the nuclear deal have been uniform consistent and unvarying since the campaign of 2016, and we'll see what happens.

BRENNAN: Well the world is watching. Thank you so much.

BOLTON: Glad to be with you --

BRENNAN: John Bolton. Thank you for coming on "Face the Nation." Hope to have you back soon.


(三浦、木村)


Why did Kim Jong-un suddenly go from being an international monster to a smiling diplomat ?

2018年04月30日 06時49分38秒 | Weblog






According to Thae Yong-ho,


 



  すべては金正恩の緻密な戦略なのです。ジョンウンはアメリカを思うのままに引き込もうとしているのです。

  去年まで核やミサイルの実験を連発することで、モンスターがなにかをしでかすのではないかと世界に恐怖を与えました。

 それが突然今年から平和キャンペーンをうちだしたことで、ああよかった、平和のためにこのチャンスを活かそうという方向に、各国は転換せざる得なくなってきたのです。

凍結というのは、核の保有を認めることにほかなりません。対話が続いている間は、北朝鮮の核保有を認めるしかない状況になります。それが長期間続くと結局、北朝鮮の非核化へのプロセスは非現実的となり、実質的に核保有国として国際社会に受け入れられていきます。これこそがジョンウンの真の狙いなのです



Kim jong-un carefully planned everything. He is trying to manipulate U.S.
By continuously testing nuclear bombs and ICBM until last year, he kept people in a state of fear that this monster might start a war.
By suddenly acting as if he was longing for peace from this year, he is making people feel relieved and want to do anything to give peace a chance. Consequently the leaders of countries soften their attitude to North Korea.

North Korea’s nuclear test freeze means that North Korea has nuclear weapons. As long as the negotiations between North Korea and other relevant countries continues, we have to admit that North Korea possesses Nuclear Weapons. If such a situation continues, denuclearization will be unrealistic and the world will practically accept North Korea as nuclear-weapon States.

That's true intention of Kim jong-un.









A Road Map to War in Korea ?

2018年04月30日 02時08分12秒 | Weblog


4月22日の放送か。

NHK よく取材しているね。第3集であるーーこの程度はしかし、米国政府は把握しているんだろうね。



北朝鮮側の思惑


 


  すべては金正恩の緻密な戦略なのです。ジョンウンはアメリカを思うのままに引き込もうとしているのです。

  去年まで核やミサイルの実験を連発することで、モンスターがなにかをしでかすのではないかと世界に恐怖を与えました。

 それが突然今年から平和キャンペーンをうちだしたことで、ああよかった、平和のためにこのチャンスを活かそうという方向に、各国は転換せざる得なくなってきたのです。




北朝鮮外務省元幹部






北朝鮮が非核化を受け入れるには数多くの前提条件があります。
まず、経済制裁の解除、アメリカとの国交正常化、そして韓国にいるアメリカの撤退です。これらの条件が満たされたとき初めて核を放棄するのです





ジョンウンは「体制が保障されるなら、核放棄しない理由はない」と韓国側に伝えていますが




北朝鮮が自らすすんで核放棄することなどありえません。要求がみたされて初めて核を放棄を検討するのです。
 





テ・ヨンホ氏



凍結というのは、核の保有を認めることにほかなりません。対話が続いている間は、北朝鮮の核保有を認めるしかない状況になります。それが長期間続くと結局、北朝鮮の非核化へのプロセスは非現実的となり、実質的に核保有国として国際社会に受け入れられていきます。これこそがジョンウンの真の狙いなのです








アメリカ側の思惑



非核化の概念が北朝鮮の概念とアメリカの概念と違う。アメリカの概念にそったような形の非核化をできるだけ早く履行させたいという希望がある







これは(先延ばしは)絶対アメリカとして容認できない。必ず非核化をわれわれは成し遂げる。強い強い信念ですね。





決裂した場合




アメリカの安全保障に対して重大なる脅威である。Existential threat アメリカの存在自体を揺るがしかねない脅威である、と。武力行使してまでも北朝鮮の脅威は容認しないという強い態度なんですよ。


ーー結局どうなると予測されていますか?

それはコメントしない方がいいです。控えさせていただきたい


その後も北朝鮮は不穏な動きが続く

1)新たなサイバー攻撃の兆候ークロスドメイン攻撃




敵を攻撃するまえに、迎撃ミサイルなどの防衛システムをサイバー攻撃で停止させること


2)今月始め新たな原子炉が可動している可能性があることを突き止めた
ーー今のうちにプルトニウムを蓄えている




3)別の兆候もーーー核実験場で拡張工事が行われている



大規模な核実験を行える場所は地下にいくらでもあり、北朝鮮は、凍結を宣言した後も、核実験をまだおこなう可能性がある、核開発をやめるとは思えない、と。


(三浦、木村)







US will be discussing whether U.S. troops need to stay stationed on the Korean Peninsula

2018年04月30日 01時09分47秒 | Weblog


「上手くいっても」というのがどういう意味かわからないんだけど、阿比留さんが言っているということは安倍ちゃんに近い人達の見解でもあるのかなあ。


米、朝鮮半島からの米軍撤退を北朝鮮と議論の用意米、朝鮮半島からの米軍撤退を北朝鮮と議論の用意 © AFP 2018 / Jim Watson

2018年04月28日


マティス長官は、「それは、まず最初に我々の同盟諸国との、そしてもちろん、北朝鮮との交渉で我々が議論することになる問題の一部だ」と述べた。

Q: Could we ask just one quick one on North Korea? If there is a peace treaty that's reached, as they talked about in Panmunjom earlier today, do -- do U.S. troops need to stay stationed on the Korean Peninsula?

SEC. MATTIS: Well, that's part of the issues that we'll be discussing in the negotiations with our allies first and, of course, with North Korea. So, I think for right now, we just have to go along with the process, have the negotiations, and not try to make preconditions or presumptions about how it's going to go. We -- the diplomats are going to have to go to work now.



マティスさんも言及はしているんだよねえ。


ただ、

金正恩氏、核兵器放棄の条件伝える © 写真 : Inter-Korean Summit Press Corps
アジア
2018年04月29日




尹氏は正恩氏の言葉として「米国との会談が頻繁に行われ、将来的に信用が形成され、不可侵と終戦の協定が達成されれば、なぜ核兵器を持ち、苦しい条件で生活する必要があるのか?」と伝えた


If we maintain frequent meetings and build trust with the United States and receive promises for an end to the war and a non-aggression treaty, then why would be need to live in difficulty by keeping our nuclear weapons?” Yoon quoted Kim as saying.


こんな条件だとアメリカはのまないんじゃないかな。

また、のんでもらっても困るね。

リテラが批判している勢力の大部分は英語圏の南北会談に対する論調でもある。

2018年04月29日 21時09分48秒 | Weblog


リテラが批判している勢力で、最初から、
〈文氏が安倍首相に対して取り上げることを約束した拉致問題は、共同宣言でも共同会見でも触れられなかった。どうなっているのか。日米韓の連携という基本を文氏は忘れてはならない。〉


ここまでは、左も含めた、英語圏のーーーおれの見た限りではーーー論調でもある。

百田氏や松本氏は論外ーーーはやいところ、保守や右派が批判しないと、保守の人の足ひっぱるよ、彼ら。




蚊帳の外論の人は、北朝鮮の核兵器について安倍ちゃんに何をしてもらいたいの?

2018年04月29日 20時39分22秒 | Weblog


安倍ちゃんの答えもよくわからんだが、蚊帳の外論の人は、北朝鮮の核兵器について安倍ちゃんに何をしてもらいたいの?ーーーそこがよくわからんのだなああ。

前にも言ったけど、「おい、金ちゃん、核兵器廃棄しなかったら、日本も核武装しちゃうぞ」とか言えば、すぐに蚊帳の中にいれてはもらえるんだけど・・・具体的に何をしてもらいたいか、聞きたいな。

因みに、おれは、森友、加計、山口など安倍友問題に関しては、反安倍なんだけど。





「私は、黙らない」

2018年04月29日 20時25分16秒 | Weblog


セクハラが社会で大きくとりあげられていることはいいこと。

「問題を傍観することも加害する行為の一つだとしたら、当事者じゃない人は一人もいない。みんながセクハラ、性差別問題の当事者」(学生、21)


米軍慰安婦問題や韓国軍性暴行問題もちゃんととりあげようね。

被害を受ける危険があるから要注意ということと、被害を受けたときに誰が悪いか、は別問題。

2018年04月29日 20時12分58秒 | Weblog


Shoko Egawaさんがリツイート

櫻井光政



@okinahimeji
12時間12時間前
その他
山口メンバーの件、女の子にも多少の落ち度があると思うという女性がいたので、戸締りをしていない家に泥棒が入っても、泥棒が100%悪いという話をした。戸締りした方がいいよというのは別次元の話です。


buvery


@buvery
フォロー
する @buveryをフォローします
その他
子供に対して『知らない独身男性の部屋に上がってはいけない』というと『男はみんな部屋に上がった女を強姦するとでも言いたいのか』という反論をする人がいますが、ナンセンスです。100に1つあっても困ることなら、やめた方が良い。まれに事故にあっても良いというのなら、止めませんが。

2:00 - 2018年4月29日


被害を受ける危険があるから要注意ということと、被害を受けたときに誰が悪いか、は別問題。

意思に反して性的暴行したら、それはやった人が100%悪い。

相撲協会は公益法人格剥奪して、女性差別団体認定すれば?

2018年04月29日 20時10分49秒 | Weblog

Shoko Egawaさんがリツイート

赤木智弘@Just Monika…



@T_akagi
11 時間11 時間前
その他
じゃあ、セレモニーは全部土俵下でやれと。力士や行事など、神聖な戦い以外の人を土俵にあげるな:女人禁制で相撲協会が指針「土俵上がらぬ、受け継がれ」:朝日新聞デジタル


Shingetsu news is not news agency ; It is a political agency

2018年04月29日 20時03分41秒 | Weblog


まあ、これはさすがにやりすぎでしょう。





I guess Shingetsu news is not news agency ; It is a political agency


Firstly it is not clear at all whether it is Abe who got the stature removed.

MANILA (2nd UPDATE)—The statue depicting a comfort woman along Roxas Boulevard was removed recently to give way to a project improving the drainage system in the area, a government official said on Saturday, even as rights groups criticized those responsible for taking it down


Does the truth not matter for Shingetsu news?



Did Michael Penn call the Philippine government and confirm that it was Abe who made them do that?---I guess he didn't

Secondly Shingetsu news didn't make the news when Former Korean 'comfort women' for U.S. troops sue own government




Abe apologized while Korea & US have never faced up to its crimes against former comfort women


Is Michael Penn an American utlra-nationalist?
Is he getting money from Korean government by hiding the story about Korean sex slaves for U.S. troops?





Thirdly there is nothing impressive about Panmunjom Declaration


Korean history repeats itself first as farce, second as tragedy ?


We are being played. We better be ready to “fight tonight” if necessary


Peace Talk at Panmunjom: Déjà vu?


Analysts: N.Korea's not anywhere near giving up its Nuclear Weapons


The results of the summit were insubstantial.


Don't forget human rights in North Korea, U.N. says | World | Reuters





Fragile and under pressure, but Kim Jong-un won’t give up




更新









Japan’s biggest worry might be an impulsive desire on Mr. Trump’s part to declare a quick victory

2018年04月29日 18時06分25秒 | Weblog
Japan Worries It’ll Be Forgotten as Its Allies Talk to North Korea
By MOTOKO RICHAPRIL 25, 2018





Analysts said that Japan’s biggest worry might be an impulsive desire on Mr. Trump’s part to declare a quick victory, even at the cost of Japan’s or the region’s security. Though Mr. Trump has said that he is committed to North Korea’s complete denuclearization, Japan is concerned he might accept something short of that.

“I think it may be that the Abe cabinet is still a little nervous that Trump is still going to say, ‘See, I did it,’ claim a win and walk away,” said Sheila A. Smith, a Japan expert at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington.



ut Trump's looming talks with North Korea
"The Japanese people should be concerned about slight differences of priorities between the United States and Japan," one professor said.
by Daniel Hurst / Apr.28.2018 /


TOKYO — President Donald Trump has suggested that his highly anticipated meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un might result in “the greatest deal for the world.”

But here in Tokyo, the government is worried about the possibility of Trump striking an agreement to curtail the North’s ability to hit the U.S. mainland without addressing the shorter-range missiles that can reach Japan.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe also wants pressure put on Pyongyang to return Japanese nationals who were abducted by North Korean agents decades ago.



核兵器放棄について、完全、不可逆、検証可能な形で廃棄してくれればよし、そうでなければ、困るわなあ、日本は。

駄目だったら、ちょっっとずつでも、アメリカから独立していかにゃあ、自分の身を護れんよ。


Don't Be Duped By Kim Jong-un's Carefully Planned Theatre Of Deception

2018年04月29日 17時41分26秒 | Weblog



米重 克洋

認証済みアカウント

@kyoneshige


先週放送されて北朝鮮が怒ったというNスペを観た。既に亡くなった亡命元幹部が1年前に今の展開を予言。極限まで緊張状態を高めて当事国が戦争の可能性すら真剣に考え始めた段階で、突然対話がしたいと言って転換してきたら、金正恩の深淵な戦略の渦に飲み込まれるだろう、みたいなことをメモに遺す。



A late North Korean top official predicted what's happening now




Suppose Kim Jong-un acts as if he is a mad man and he is not hesitant to start a war,




people will feel the war might happen at any time,





And then suddenly if Kim Jong-un makes a 180 degree turn and claims he wants to realize peace,




What will happen ?




People including politicians, journalist, experts form many countries, will take the bait and accept the summit talks.




The world will be walking into Kim Jong Un's trap


We know NHK, somehow, touches on the Truth, because KCNA hates the programme






<script language="javascript" type="text/javascript" src="http://kwout.com/cutout/u/2s/k8/pmv_bor.js"></script>






N.Korea should implement Libya-style denuclearization

2018年04月29日 13時59分29秒 | Weblog




結構な話。




リビア式でやれば、信頼を得られ、また、半島だけのみならず、近隣諸国、世界の平和に貢献できる。

その後、収容所解放、拉致被害者返還。

その後、人道の罪について、堂々と、国際刑事裁判所で、無罪を主張してほしい。

未来は明るくなってきた?