北朝鮮「非核化望まず」＝過去の繰り返しを警告－元米高官
リビア氏は、北朝鮮側が今回、非核化の条件として同国への脅威の解消に言及したという韓国の発表を受けて、「何人もの北朝鮮の高官から多くの場で聞いた言葉だ」と分析。北朝鮮側は過去、在韓米軍撤退や日韓両国に対する米国の核抑止力の排除を求め、安全を実感すれば「１０～２０年」のうちに非核化を検討する考えを示したという。
リビア氏によると、過去の米朝非公式対話で米側は北朝鮮の非核化の検証方法でさまざまな提案をしたが、すべて拒否されたという。このため米朝首脳会談で、北朝鮮が核・ミサイル計画の停止や凍結、上限設定を提案したとしても「検証が不可能なら、ほとんどあるいは全く意味がない」と強調。
Evans Revere, a former senior State Department official experienced in negotiating with North Korea, warned there is a disconnect between how the North and the U.S. describes "denuclearization" of the divided Korean Peninsula. For the U.S. it refers to North Korea giving up its nukes; for North Korea it also means removing the threat of American forces in South Korea and the nuclear deterrent with which the U.S. protects its allies in the region.
"The fundamental definition of denuclearization is quite different between Washington and Pyongyang," Revere said, noting that as recently as Jan. 1, Kim had vigorously reaffirmed the importance of nukes for North Korea's security. He said that misunderstandings at a summit could lead to "recrimination and anger" and even military action if Trump were embarrassed by failure.
Evans J.R. Revere, a former State Department official who has worked on negotiations with North Korea in the past, told The New York Times he wasn’t all that impressed, noting that the “U.S. has actually provided security guarantees to North Korea, including in writing by President Clinton. Such guarantees have never been adequate or acceptable to the North Koreans.”
リビア氏は、北朝鮮側が今回、非核化の条件として同国への脅威の解消に言及したという韓国の発表を受けて、「何人もの北朝鮮の高官から多くの場で聞いた言葉だ」と分析。北朝鮮側は過去、在韓米軍撤退や日韓両国に対する米国の核抑止力の排除を求め、安全を実感すれば「１０～２０年」のうちに非核化を検討する考えを示したという。
リビア氏によると、過去の米朝非公式対話で米側は北朝鮮の非核化の検証方法でさまざまな提案をしたが、すべて拒否されたという。このため米朝首脳会談で、北朝鮮が核・ミサイル計画の停止や凍結、上限設定を提案したとしても「検証が不可能なら、ほとんどあるいは全く意味がない」と強調。
Evans Revere, a former senior State Department official experienced in negotiating with North Korea, warned there is a disconnect between how the North and the U.S. describes "denuclearization" of the divided Korean Peninsula. For the U.S. it refers to North Korea giving up its nukes; for North Korea it also means removing the threat of American forces in South Korea and the nuclear deterrent with which the U.S. protects its allies in the region.
"The fundamental definition of denuclearization is quite different between Washington and Pyongyang," Revere said, noting that as recently as Jan. 1, Kim had vigorously reaffirmed the importance of nukes for North Korea's security. He said that misunderstandings at a summit could lead to "recrimination and anger" and even military action if Trump were embarrassed by failure.
Evans J.R. Revere, a former State Department official who has worked on negotiations with North Korea in the past, told The New York Times he wasn’t all that impressed, noting that the “U.S. has actually provided security guarantees to North Korea, including in writing by President Clinton. Such guarantees have never been adequate or acceptable to the North Koreans.”
