Tempting as the analogies to Cuba may be, Mr. Kim is probably thinking of another nuclear negotiation — with Libya, in 2003. Its leader, Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi, agreed to give up his nascent nuclear program in return for promises from the West of economic integration and acceptance. It never really happened, and as soon as Libya’s populace turned against the dictator during the Arab Spring, the United States and its European and Arab allies drove him from power. Ultimately, he was pulled out of a ditch and shot.
Periodically, the North Koreans write about that experience, noting what a sap Colonel Qaddafi was to give up the nuclear program that might have saved him. Mr. Kim, it appears, is not planning to make the same mistake.
欧米にうまいこと言われて、核兵器を放棄して、民衆から突き放されるや否や、欧米が顔つっこんできて権力の座から降ろされて、あの始末。北朝鮮は折に触れてそのことについて書いており、金正恩はガダフィと同じ間違いを犯さないだろう、と。
こういう状況下で、
北朝鮮に核を諦めさせるどんな駒を中国はもっているというのかな？
たぶん、中国が一番知りたいのではないか？
