文明のターンテーブルThe Turntable of Civilization

日本の時間、世界の時間。
The time of Japan, the time of the world

Considering that, if China with GDP a little less than Japan behaves like Russia, it seems to have

2017年08月20日 23時01分09秒 | 日記

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

There is a high possibility that it is clearly inflating.

If this inflating system is a story of the People's Republic since the founding of the People's Republic of China, it will be surprising, but it will not be true.

If you believe in the article of 'Sankei Shimbun' 'Reform and liberation route of 1985, China has become strange' and accumulated paddling statistics from 1985, estimate the size of China's economy I tried out.

We simulated 3%, 6%, 9% inflation rate, classified in 3 cases and each "dehydrated" value showed that the result was 3% of the most conservative, not exceeding Japan's GDP figures, the truth of the impact was revealed (see figure).

Country without self-purification

In fact, the whole country is vibrant when going to China, there are people who insist that the role in international politics is large and the military power is also powerful even if I turn over to overseas.

At that time, I will answer as follows.

"Please consider the country Russia."

Russia's GDP is about half that of Japan.

However, the military power is the second largest in the world after the United States, and its presence in international politics is also very large.

Considering that, if China with GDP a little less than Japan behaves like Russia, it seems to have more than double the power of Russia.

In other words, China is just "paper tiger".

Do not be fooled by it.

I think you need to think about the real figures.

However, China itself seems to want to correct this dressing account settlement.

On 1 August this year, the State Council of China was reported to enforce the "statistical law" implementation ordinance.

By doing so, it is said that they will rigorously punish the padding and data alteration over economic indicators such as GDP.

However, these attempts have been carried out in China many times so far.

Mr. MA JIANTANG who served as the Director of the National Statistics Bureau from 2008 to 2015 also declared that "padding of statistics will be eradicated" and struggled fighting.

He prepared in 2014 and tried to implement the reform plan seriously from 2015, but he decided to retire shortly before that and the attempt to rectify the statistics was torn down.

Speaking of why China dresses up statistics, there is one domestic situation first.

It is from the Mao Zedong era that they must achieve the imposed quota.

If you argue that "I cannot achieve such numbers", immediately, it is in trouble, it is purge.

It is better to set the target higher, the evaluation is also high, the authorities' remembrance is remarkable.

It uses a bribe and flaunts "I am issuing this number."

Especially when it was in the 2008 Lehman shock, it was terrible.

As local governments do not grow, they keep saying they have grown, and as a result, the rate of padding (the rate of deviation from the figures of the National Bureau of Statistics) is 13%!

It is figures like to freeze a person's blood

This draft continues.

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