Neighboring countries will continue to bring historical problems to the future, but

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Another thing is that Meiji 150 coincidentally corresponds to the last year of Heisei (Heisei 30 years).

One thing about the era of Heisei is that it is an era in which diplomatic energy was often taken in response to the historical recognition problem concerning the Great War in the Showa era that fought against the West, the West, and China.

However, our present emperor 's activities for the memorial service of the war dead, as well as Abe' s discourse in 2015 which is 70 years after the war, has been accompanied by a lot of spiritual arrangement of our Showa 's great war.

Neighboring countries will continue to bring historical problems to the future, but the corresponding stance has been fairly steady.

In that sense as well, 2018 will be a year of separation that is worthwhile to check our diplomatic security.

 

 

 

 

In this sense, Japan is probably the oldest country in the world, it means that it is at least older

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Meiji 150 and Heisei 30

With Meiji 150 as the break of the era, there are things that you should keep in mind about two when thinking about the future Japan's diplomatic security, its cooperation with Western countries as its core.

One is that 150 years is a long history, but the name of ‘Japan’ was made in the latter half of the 7th century, with more than 1300 history.

In this sense, Japan is probably the oldest country in the world, it means that it is at least older than Western countries.

In the Meiji era, Japan endeavored to open up civilization by learning Western thought, technology and institution.

Japan should continue to learn from Europe and the United States, but at the same time should also think about whether ‘elderly wisdom’ that can be useful in some Western countries can also be issued.

This draft continues.

As a leader of free liberal countries as well as the West and the United States,

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Nevertheless, we will preserve the safety and prosperity of the liberal countries in this order.

Make an environment where liberal countries are increasing naturally without compulsion.

Liberal countries must cooperate firmly for doing so.

I think the challenge that becomes the center of cooperation is the safety of the sea.

Looking at the globe, the earth consists of many large and small islands and one connected sea.

The ocean occupies 70% of the earth's area, 90% of world trade goes through it.

The control of the ocean, its peace and security is the foundation of the liberal countries' survival.

It can be said that the navy of 30 countries cooperate mainly with the US Navy and it keeps its safety, but if there is a power to challenge it, it must be tightly rejected.

In this regard, the Abe administration is looking at China's ocean expansion,

It is trying to develop maritime cooperation with the United States, Australia and India by launching the concept of 'free and open India and the Pacific Ocean'.

As a leader of free liberal countries as well as the West and the United States, we will fulfill more responsibility than ever to maintain and develop the free world order.

I think that it will clarify its attitude.

In any case Japan will have to face the world with cooperation with the West in future.

Even western countries, even with internal trouble, seems to be active in cooperation with Japan because of the liberal world order.

America's focus on Asia-Pacific, emphasis on the Japan-US alliance remains the same as President Trump, and Europe has become vigilant not only in Russia but also recently in China, and it is beginning to reaffirm the political importance of Japan. Britain and others are withdrawal from the EU, are they more conscious of the Britain (Global Britain) in the world than before, or have been active in security cooperation with Japan far away, it is like aiming for a Japan - UK alliance of a new era.

If Meiji's predecessors saw this situation it would be deeply impressed.

This draft continues.

そうしたら、今日、もういい加減にした方が良いと言う事も分からない、本当に頭の悪い小泉純一郎が、細川某と一緒に

昨日、NHKのニュースを観ていたら、年明け早々から、またもや安倍内閣支持率の世論調査などを行ったと言って発表していた。

一体、全体、こんなに頻繁に、わずかなサンプル…答えている人間の多くは中高年だろうと推測される…の世論調査を何のためにNHKは行うのか？

この間、日本国民の有権者が衆議院選挙の投票を行って、国民としての意思を決定したというのに。

そうしたら、今日、もういい加減にした方が良いと言う事も分からない、本当に頭の悪い小泉純一郎が、細川某と一緒になって、原発即時撤廃、エネルギーは全部自然エネルギーでなどと本当に幼稚園児以下の事を言っていただけではなく、

安倍政権では原発廃止は無理だ…つまりは朝日新聞の論説委員等にたきつけられた、反安倍運動…安倍内閣打倒運動以外の何物でもない。

こんな、痴呆症同様の老人二人のたわ言を、大々的に報道するために、昨日の世論調査があったわけである。

つくづく、NHKは陰湿で悪質な、日本国営放送局である。

一体、どれほど多くの中国や朝鮮半島のスパイが入り込んでいる組織かをこそ、調査すべきだろう。

日米同盟の起原は、まさに朝鮮戦争における日米協力にあります。

以下は月刊誌WiLL今月号に掲載された大阪大学教授坂元一哉氏の論文からである。

神様が私に与えた試練がなかったならば私は高校時分の恩師に厳命されたとおり京大に残って学者としての人生を送っていただろう。

坂元氏は、その京都大学の法学部を卒業し、私の友人の出身大学である大阪大学で教授を務めている。

私は、この論文を読んで、それが単なる偶然ではないと思いもした。

彼の「中国は覇権を求めているといわれます。しかし…」の前後の文節について、読者は、私の文明のターンテーブルの始まりである「覇権安定論」の正しさが、坂元氏に依って証明されていると思うだろう。

見出し以外の文中強調は私。

覇権を求める中国に友人はいるか

選挙で選ばれていない指導者は政権の正統性を絶えず実績で示さなければならないのです

安保の要は朝鮮半島　

2018年は明治150年の年にあたります。

区切りがいいので、この機会に明治維新後の歴史を思い起こしつつ、あらためて日本の外交安全保障について考えてみてはどうでしょうか。　

日本は今、北朝鮮の核ミサイル開発の脅威に直面していますが、朝鮮半島はこの150年間、日本の安全保障にとって要になる場所でした。

明治から戦前まで、自衛と言えば、これは朝鮮半島の安全も含むものだったからです。

日清・日露の両戦争は、朝鮮半島に巨大な敵対勢力が進出するのを防ぐための戦争でした。

朝鮮半島は、アジア大陸から日本に向けて突き出された、短刀のような形をした場所です。

日本は軍隊を出してでも、自衛のために半島を保護しなければならなかった。　

それが戦後は、そうではなくなる。

戦後の日本は海外派兵に懲りて、たとえ自衛のためでも朝鮮半島に軍隊を出さないし、出せないし、出したくない国になったのです。

それはいいのですが、戦後になったら、朝鮮半島と日本の自衛に関係がなくなったか、というとそうではない。　　

それで朝鮮半島の安全を含めた、日本の自衛をどうするかといえば、これは米国との協力、つまり日米同盟でなんとかすることになった。

日米同盟の起原は、まさに朝鮮戦争における日米協力にあります。

この戦争で日本は、朝鮮半島の安全を米国を中心とする国連軍の行動に任せ、自らは基地を貸すなど、国連軍の支援に専念した。

朝鮮戦争休戦の翌年（1954年）、自衛隊が作られた時に「海外出動禁止」が国会で決議されましたが、ここでいう「海外」が、朝鮮半島を念頭におくものであったのは明らかです。　

朝鮮半島でまた何かあっても、自衛隊は出て行かないと決議したわけです。

それから60年後の2014年に、政府は集団的自衛権に関する憲法解釈を変更しましたが、この際も、朝鮮半島で集団的自衛権を行使して米軍を助けることはない、と安倍晋三首相が国会で明言しています。　

自衛隊は朝鮮半島に出動せず、その代わり、必要となれば米軍が出動する、日本はその米軍を支援する。

こういう役割分担の日米同盟は、日本が戦前とは違って、自分で直接、朝鮮半島に行かなくても、自衛を全うできる仕組みなのです。　

近年、この仕組みは安保法制や新ガイドラインでかなり強化されましたが、今の北朝鮮問題にうまく対応できるかどうか、日本は厳しい試練の時を迎えています。

 

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Specifically, deepen friendship relations with Western liberal countries etc.,

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Liberalism and laxity

After becoming the Abe administration, ‘value diplomacy’ emphasizing value has come to be cast.

This diplomacy does not impose values such as freedom, democracy and the rule of law on other countries, but deepens friendship relations with countries that have such values.

Specifically, deepen friendship relations with Western liberal countries etc., at the same time, leading the world with those countries, it is aimed at maintaining and developing the so-called liberal world order.

This is not diplomacy fighting with a country whose values do not match.

A country that does not match is not a ‘friend’, but an important ‘neighbor’ who lives on the same earth.

Some of we have troubled neighbors, but it will presuppose that we will be able to go along well as a 'neighbor' anyhow.

The liberal world order is because it is about 'freedom', it is not the way that some country mandate values in an authoritative way.

Some country does not mandate values in an authoritative way.

Some countries have liberalism, others do not.

Regarding this point, I remember that Kosaka Masataka professor said that the word ‘liberal’ of the word liberal world order was saying ‘There is meaning of laxity in the word liberal, meaning freedom’ (lol ).

The liberal world order is never a strict order, but laxity.

If you say badly about laxity, it is a rough order, there are places where you are doing well with liberalism, and others are not.

If liberalism is the basis as a crowd, that's fine.

It should be a matter of loose feeling.

This draft continues.

His policy can be understood with the combination of the following four slogans

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Four slogans

The history of Japan in Meiji 150 was a history that we learned from Europe and America, fought against the West, and cooperated with the West.

Japan will become more and more cooperative with Europe and the United States in the future, how about that situation in the West?

In the United States, the first year of President Trump has ended.

There are many criticisms of the president of a unique personality, but from the supporters, that policy is enthusiastically endorsed.

His policy can be understood with the combination of the following four slogans.

The first one is ‘Make America, Great Again’.

It is the most important slogan to make the United States again great.

The second one is ‘America First’.

This is often misunderstood, but it is not necessarily isolated.

First of all, it thinks about America's own interests first when it meets other countries.

Let's negotiate because other countries can think about their own profit first.

In addition to this word, there is also the inclusion that America is number one in the world anyhow.

The third type is ‘Job / Job / Job’.

Employment is the most important.

Trump says to Americans, ‘I will protect your work.’

He absolutely not to say, 'because that the loser goes out by the free competition of the capitalism is inevitable, the loser search for the other work'.

Fourth is 'drain the swamp' (pull out water from the marsh in Washington).

Destroy the existing elite politics.

It is a rebound against the fact that political elites in Washington could not do anything.

It seems that there is a desire to show, which he is not all talk, no action like the past presidents, so that he recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel.

This draft continues.

By the way, fake news has become a big problem now in Europe.

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

By the way, fake news has become a big problem now in Europe.

The other day, that topic came out at an international conference in Berlin, I was not come to mind, but when I take a taxi on the evening of the day, a Turkish driver said ‘I think that you do not know , Terrorism in Trucking in Berlin in 2016 is just an accident. Calling it terrorism is a German government conspiracy to suppress Muslims’, seriously.

When I heard that you knew where ‘I heard that Russian and Chinese television is so’.

I was surprised, if China and Russian TVs are shedding such news, it would be a matter of refugees and terrorism to fuel conflicts in Germany.

The troublesome thing is that since freedom of nation like Germany has freedom of speech, fake news cannot be easily controlled.

That is why it is used their attack against Germany.

This draft continues.

As it is, aside from what the nucleus of the EU will become, again double structure will proceed

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Refugees create cracks

However, German Prime Minister Merkel stumbles in the election and is politically weak, so it cannot be optimistic too much.

Germany is now swaying with refugee problems.

It accepts refugees too much and is creating cracks in society.

Of course, it also has a serious effect on politics, which leads to Merkel's weakening.

Fortunately, new refugees are decreasing, but in 2015 they accepted one million refugees.

At 1 million in German population 82 million, no one knows the long-term impact that the composition of refugees mostly young men brings to society.

The refugee problem also has the crack of the EU.

For example, Germany accuses Hungary not to accept refugees.

But in Hungary, refugees will not go to Germany, as Hungary will not enter refugees from outside.

As a result, it would like to say that that number of refugees to Germany is decreasing, it does not want to say something so great.

However, in Germany and France, some Eastern European countries such as Hungary receive only the benefits of the EU, and only reflect that they do not fulfill their obligations.

As it is, aside from what the nucleus of the EU will become, again double structure will proceed.

This draft continues.

It seems that Germany and France are beginning to positively think that Brexit is

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Sprouting of German and French Axis

Trump hates the idea of globalism, that is, ‘It is a good thing for people, goods and money to move freely across borders’, but the EU has taken on the aspect of its globalism experiment site .

Even in that EU, however, in the end it is a story of regional cohesion, not beyond Europe, the idea of globalism pervades the whole planet.

Rather, the way of thinking is hitting the wall due to problems of economic disparities and immigration / refugee problems.

In Brexit, the UK has gone out of the EU, but there has been a movement to make the EU a dual structure called the union of the nuclear-powered countries and its neighboring countries.

Specifically, it is a move to rebuild the EU centering on Germany and France Axis.

It seems that Germany and France are beginning to positively think that Brexit is a good thing to strengthen the unity of the EU.

French President Macron is keen to strengthen cooperation with Germany, calling for the EU to rebuild the EU by promoting EU financial integration, refugee problem solving, EU troop creation,

When I asked a French friend what it really could do, he said that they were optimistic.

Because something about a pessimistic Frenchman says so, it seems to be going well (laugh).

This draft continues.

I also think that the situation in North Korea is increasing the degree of tension

The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.

Whether President Trump is successful or not depends on whether he can realize 1 by successfully combining the slogans 2, 3 and 4.

Trump loses in the 2018 middle election, politically becomes a lame duck.

So now it is desperate to make a track record.

The economy is doing fine and employment is also growing.

However, if any resolution of the North Korean problem cannot be done by the middle elections, ‘It will still be Make America, Great Again’, it will be painful.

Conversely, Trump has decided to do something anything by the middle election.

I also think that the situation in North Korea is increasing the degree of tension.

This draft continues.

近隣諸国はこれからも歴史問題を持ち出すでしょうが、対応する構えはかなりしっかりしてきた。

以下は前章の続きである。

もう一つは明治150年が偶然、平成最後の年（平成30年）にあたるということ。　

平成という時代について一つ言えるのは、欧米、そして中国と戦った昭和の大戦に関する歴史認識問題への対応に、外交のエネルギーがとられることが多かった時代だ、ということです。　

しかし今上陛下の戦没者慰霊のためのご活動、また戦後70年にあたる2015年の安倍談話などで、われわれの昭和の大戦に対する精神的整理がだいぶついてきた。　

近隣諸国はこれからも歴史問題を持ち出すでしょうが、対応する構えはかなりしっかりしてきた。　

その意味でも2018年は、われわれの外交安全保障を再点検するにふさわしい、区切りの年になることでしょう

 

 

 

 

この意味では日本はおそらく世界最古の国と言うことができ、少なくとも欧米諸国より年長者であるということです。

以下は前章の続きである。

明治150年と平成30年　

明治150年を時代の区切りとして、今後の日本の外交安全保障、その基軸としての欧米諸国との協力を考える場合、二つほど頭に入れておくべきことがあります。　

一つは、150年というのは長い歴史ですが、「日本」という国の名前は7世紀の後半にできたもので、1300以上の歴史があること。　

この意味では日本はおそらく世界最古の国と言うことができ、少なくとも欧米諸国より年長者であるということです。　

明治の日本は欧米の思想、技術、制度を学んで文明開化に努めました。

日本はこれからも欧米に学ぶべきは学ぶ姿勢を保つべきですが、同時に何か欧米にも役立つ「年寄りの智恵」が出せないか、ということも考えるべきでしょう。　

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欧州はロシアだけでなく、最近は中国にも警戒的になり、日本の政治的重要性を再認識し始めています。

以下は前章の続きである。

この点で安倍政権は、中国の海洋進出をにらんで「自由で開かれたインド・太平洋」という概念を打ち出し、米国、豪州、インドとの海上協力を進めようとしている。

欧米と並ぶ自由主義諸国のリーダーとして、自由世界秩序の維持と発展に、これまでよりさらに責任を果たしていく。

その姿勢を明確にするものだと思う。 

いずれにしろ日本は、今後も欧米との協力を軸に、世界に向き合っていかねばならない。

欧米諸国の方も、内部のごたごたはあっても、自由主義の世界秩序のため、日本との協力に積極的になっているようです。

米国のアジア太平洋重視、日米同盟重視はトランプ大統領になっても変わらないし、欧州はロシアだけでなく、最近は中国にも警戒的になり、日本の政治的重要性を再認識し始めています。 

イギリスなどはＥＵ離脱で、世界のなかのイギリス（グローバル・ブリテン）をこれまでより強く意識しているのか、遠く離れた日本との安全保障協力に積極的になり、新しい時代の日英同盟をめざすかのような姿勢になっています。

もし明治の先人たちがこの状況を見たら感慨深いでしょうね。

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海は地球の面積の7割を占め、世界貿易の9割はそこを通ってなされます。

以下は前章の続きである。  

もっとも、この秩序の中で自由主義の国々の安全と繁栄を守る。

強制なしに、自由主義の国が自然に増えていくような環境を作る。

自由主義諸国はそうしたことのためには、しっかりと協力していかねばなりません。  

その協力の中心になる課題は、海の安全だと思います。

地球儀を見ると、地球は大小多くの島々と、つながった一つの海からなっている。

海は地球の面積の7割を占め、世界貿易の9割はそこを通ってなされます。 

海のコントロール、その平和と安全こそは、自由主義諸国の生存の基盤なのです。

今は米国海軍を中心に30ヵ国くらいの海軍が協力し、その安全を守っていると言えますが、これに挑戦する勢力があれば、それはしっかりはねつけなければならない。 

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