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今のご時勢、政治家や他人事にして傍観者してないで、直接言えばいいじゃないの!

[WSJ] South China Sea Buildup Benefits Asia, Says Beijing

2015-05-31 14:27:14 | あしあと(海外投稿記事)
South China Sea Buildup Benefits Asia, Says Beijing
Adm. Sun Jianguo notes military usefulness of islets China is constructing in the disputed Spratlys, but cites search and rescue, disaster relief and research as main interest

http://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-military-official-defends-island-building-in-south-china-sea-1433045698?mod=trending_now_1

By TREFOR MOSS
Updated May 31, 2015 2:27 a.m. ET
9 COMMENTS
SINGAPORE—A senior Chinese naval commander has claimed new islands his country is building in the South China Sea will benefit the region, while stressing that such activities “fall well within the scope of China’s sovereignty.”

Noting the military usefulness of the islets China is constructing in the disputed Spratly Islands, Adm. Sun Jianguo, deputy chief of staff of the People’s Liberation Army’s general staff, said they would mainly enable China to provide “international public services,” including maritime search and rescue, disaster relief, and scientific research.

“There is no reason for people to play up the issue in the South China Sea,” Adm. Sun said on Sunday at the Shangri-La Dialogue security summit in Singapore, where discussions involving regional defense ministers and military top brass have been completely dominated by the implications of China’s island-building program. The new islands “do not target any other countries, or affect freedom of navigation,” he said.

The Philippines and other Southeast Asian countries have expressed alarm at the speed and scope of Chinese reclamation activities.

ENLARGE
Malaysian armed forces chief Gen. Zulkifeli Mohd. Zin said Sunday that China should do more to explain its actions and intentions in the South China Sea, after Adm. Sun dodged questions on the subject. “We do not know what they are trying to do,” Gen. Zulkifeli said, referring to Beijing’s island-building activities. “It would be good if China can come out publicly and announce what they are doing so that they can be seen to be more transparent.”

But he also welcomed China’s willingness to keep engaging with rival claimants. “I’m reassured by what (Adm. Sun) said because he said China would continue to work on the Code of Conduct—that means China has not rejected that,” Gen. Zulkifeli said. “It is up to Asean (the Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and the claimant states to help them to do this.”

Adm. Sun struck a nonconfrontational tone as he defended China’s recent track record in the disputed sea, making no reference to U.S. Secretary of Defense Ash Carter’s recent criticisms of China, including remarks last week that China is “out of step with internal norms” in forging ahead with its island-building program despite the objections of its neighbors.

In Singapore yesterday, Mr. Carter called on all South China Sea claimants to halt land reclamation activities immediately. He also asserted that U.S. military forces would exercise their right to freedom of navigation in the South China Sea, and would ignore any Chinese orders to vacate areas surrounding the newly-built islands.

But Chinese military officers attending the summit, which is organized annually by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a U.K.-based think tank, felt yesterday that Mr. Carter had been relatively mild in his criticism of China, and Adm. Sun’s speech suggested there was little appetite for a China-U.S. confrontation at this year’s event. The exchanges between U.S. and Chinese representatives had been far more acerbic at the 2014 summit.

Instead, Adm. Sun limited himself to warning other countries against “making irresponsible remarks based on one’s own subjective preferences,” and advised China’s smaller neighbors to “refrain from hijacking regional security for selfish gains.”

He also said that China may set up an ADIZ, or air defense identification zone, in the disputed region. “Whether we will establish an ADIZ in the South China Sea will depend on whether our maritime security will be threatened,” he said.

Adm. Sun didn’t answer a string of questions about whether Chinese rhetoric about seeking win-win scenarios in the South China Sea really matched China’s behavior on the ground, disappointing observers who felt that he had wasted an opportunity to explain Chinese intentions.

“It was not the performance of a rising power that wants to be seen in this region as competing positively,” said Bonnie Glaser, senior adviser for Asia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a U.S. think tank. “There were a lot of concerns expressed [about China’s activities] here this weekend. If nothing else, the Chinese need to begin answering questions, to engage the region, and they’re failing to do so. They will be very heavily criticized for that.”

Write to Trefor Moss at Trefor.Moss@wsj.com

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[jamawns]
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Even during pro-china democratic party period in Japan, when PRC had gripped primary share in rare metal market for hi-tech devices in cars and electronics, PRC suddenly stopped exporting the metal to Japan in order to threaten and control Japan, then PRC threatened Japan on Senkaku Island by military power.

Track record has showed that once PRC grips something, she absolutely starts threatening anybody.

This is How PRC has invaded on Spratly Islands.
https://goo.gl/DYFNbB
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The link was made error so I put another one with same contents.
http://goo.gl/zetQ4H

[WSJ] U.S. Gambit Risks Conflict With China

2015-05-13 19:22:46 | あしあと(海外投稿記事)
U.S. Gambit Risks Conflict With China
Option to challenge Beijing in South China Sea is fraught with danger

http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-gambit-risks-sucking-it-into-conflict-with-china-1431505129#livefyre-comment

By ANDREW BROWNE
Updated May 13, 2015 7:22 a.m. ET
17 COMMENTS
SHANGHAI—After repeated and unheeded warnings to China to halt its massive reclamation works in the South China Sea, the U.S. is contemplating an option fraught with danger: limited, but direct, military action.

By sending U.S. warplanes over artificial islands that China is building, and sailing naval vessels close by—an option now under consideration, according to U.S. officials in Washington—America could end up being sucked more deeply into an increasingly heated territorial dispute between China and its neighbors, say regional security experts.

If such action fails to deter China, America will face a hard choice: back down and damage its credibility with friends and allies in the region, or escalate with the risk of being drawn into open conflict with China.

China immediately suggested that America would be crossing a line if it goes ahead with the plan. “Do you think we would support that move?” asked Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying. “Freedom of navigation definitely does not mean the military vessel or aircraft of a foreign country can willfully enter the territorial waters or airspace of another country.”

Her comments reinforced a view that America and China may be on a collision course. There’s very little prospect that China will stop ballooning the specks of territory it controls in the Spratly Islands. Much of the work has already been completed, but there is still more to do.

“China will not stop activities on what it believes to be its own territory and within its sovereign rights,” asserts M. Taylor Fravel, an associate professor of political science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

That being the case, says Mr. Fravel, “greater pressure could form for the United States to do even more and become even more involved.”

China has cleverly exploited this dilemma in the past. Last May, after U.S. President Barack Obama sought to reassure U.S. allies on a visit to the region, China dragged a gigantic oil-drilling rig into disputed waters off Vietnam. Its apparent intention was partly to expose the hollowness of American security guarantees.

Indeed, China’s military strategy in the region has been built around developing the means—missiles, ships, warplanes, antisatellite weapons and cybercapabilities—to deter America from intervening in any crisis by dramatically raising the potential costs.

In ratcheting up its pressure on China, America must also consider the sensitivities of its regional allies who don’t want to be forced to choose between these two powers.

Gauging their response, as well China’s, to possible military options will be important as U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter heads to Singapore at the end of this month for a security conference likely to be overshadowed by the gathering crisis over China’s island-building.

So far, signals coming from China indicate that it has no desire for confrontation. It hasn’t openly grabbed territory, as Russia did in Ukraine. And it has been careful to assert its territorial claims using mainly white-hulled coast-guard vessels rather than gray-painted naval ships.

Moreover, China isn’t alone in conjuring fortresses from the sea. Chinese Foreign Ministry officials point out that Vietnam and the Philippines have done the same.

Nor is it entirely clear what the U.S. expects to achieve by sailing its naval vessels within 12 nautical miles of the expanded reefs, as U.S. officials suggest might happen. China has never explicitly set out what it considers to be its maritime rights around these features, even though it claims around 90% of the South China Sea within a “nine-dash line” that loops down from the Chinese coast almost to Indonesia.

For instance, it has never specified exactly how its claim to territorial waters around the entire Spratlys chain would be delineated.

If the U.S. plans to challenge China’s sovereignty over the man-made islands themselves that would represent a major shift. America has thus far insisted it takes no position on who owns these features.

Yet Washington is under pressure to act. Southeast Asian countries feel threatened by airstrips and docks under construction that they worry will give China permanent bases to exert even greater control over activities such as fishing and surveying for undersea oil.

ENLARGE
Up to now, America’s response to the dredging has been largely rhetorical. Officials have repeatedly called on China to respect international law and honor a declaration on a code of conduct it signed with Southeast Asian nations. The U.S. has also ramped up military exercises with its partners, including the Philippines, and is providing them with technology to improve the ability to track Chinese ship and aircraft movements. Japan has joined these efforts.

None of this has worked. “The U.S. feels its credibility is on the line and needs to step up its game,” says Bonnie Glaser, a senior adviser for Asia at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Ms. Glaser believes that Washington realizes it can’t halt the mid-sea construction. Instead, its goal is to prevent China from using the islands to intimidate its neighbors and interfere with traffic in a stretch of water that carries about half the world’s shipping. And it wants to send a signal to China that it is prepared to take risks, albeit calculated ones, to back up its words.

Without such action, she says “the Chinese are not going to take this seriously.”

Although China’s own rhetoric is unyielding—it claims “indisputable sovereignty” over the South China Sea—its actions are often pragmatic. For instance, a few months after its rig caused dangerous encounters between dozens of Vietnamese and Chinese vessels and anti-Chinese riots on land, China quietly withdrew it. Beijing has since sought to patch up ties.

For now, U.S. military options remain just that—options. Even if adopted by the Pentagon they would need presidential signoff.

If they are implemented, however, a serious concern is that conflict could arise from miscalculation.

Ian Storey, a senior fellow at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, sets out a scenario in which heavily armed U.S. and Chinese warships end up churning around the islands in close proximity. This could “quickly lead to a minor clash and then escalate into a major military and political Sino-U.S. crisis,” he says.

Write to Andrew Browne at andrew.browne@wsj.com
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[jamawns' comment]
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This is How PRC has invaded on Spratly Islands.
https://goo.gl/DYFNbB