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news/notes 2009.04.02

2009-04-02 20:45:03 | Weblog
[Biography of the Day] from [Britannica]
Charlemagne
Born this day c. 742, Charlemagne, Holy Roman emperor and king of the Franks and the Lombards, united in one superstate practically all the Christian lands of western Europe and oversaw a cultural renaissance in his empire.

[On This Day] from [Britannica]
2005: Death of Pope John Paul II
The bishop of Rome and the head of the Roman Catholic Church from 1978, Pope John Paul II, who was the first non-Italian pope in 455 years and the first from a Slavic country, died in Vatican City this day in 2005.

[Business News] from [The Japan Times]
'Tankan' results worst on record
Confidence of large manufacturers at lowest ebb
By TAKAHIRO FUKADA
Staff writer

The confidence index for large manufacturers logged its biggest drop on record in March as the global financial crisis body-slammed exporters, the Bank of Japan's quarterly "tankan" survey showed Wednesday.

Compared with the previous survey in December, business sentiment at large manufacturers plunged 34 points to minus 58 — the lowest since the BOJ began compiling the data in May 1974.
That exceeds the tankan's 26-point slide during the oil crisis that hit in August 1974.

The tankan index represents the percentage of companies reporting good business conditions minus those reporting adverse conditions. It is a closely watched gauge of the economy.

The quarterly survey covered more than 10,441 firms between Feb. 23 and March 31, with responses received from 98.5 percent of them.

Economists said the collapse in exports has pushed sentiment among the largest manufacturers to its lowest level ever, suggesting more domestic industries are likely to feel the repercussions.

Takahide Kiuchi, chief economist at Nomura Securities Co., said large exporters, including carmakers and steelmakers, are in a particularly bad state.

The index was minus 92 for large carmakers, down from minus 41 in the previous survey, while the reading for large iron and steel manufacturers was at minus 65, down from 12.

Kiuchi said it is difficult to expect export-dependent Japan to make a full recovery when prospects for overseas economies are so poor.

Hiromichi Shirakawa, chief economist at Credit Suisse, noted that financing conditions are continuing to deteriorate for large firms.

The index of corporate finance for large enterprises fell to minus 4 from 7, while that for small firms fell to minus 23, down from minus 15.

"Since banks will be more reluctant to lend, I am worried about bankruptcies due to financing difficulties," Shirakawa said, suggesting that preventive steps, including public bailouts, might be necessary to prevent more failures.

Shirakawa said plans to invest in plants and equipment are slowing significantly and an increasing number of companies feel overstaffed, which may lead to further job cuts.

The tankan showed that although major manufacturers remain largely pessimistic about the coming three months, there is nevertheless a slight sense of optimism. Business sentiment among such firms in June is forecast to rise slightly to minus 51, it said.

[National News] from [The Japan Times]
ALSO OUT THERE
1 deals redrawing netbook PC market
By MINORU MATSUTANI
Staff writer

Personal computers for as little as 1 are currently on sale, attracting flocks of customers and sending shock waves through Japanese PC makers.

Major electronics retailers Bic Camera Inc. and Yodobashi Camera Co. have since July been selling a package of a netbook computer and an Internet connection card for as cheap as 100, or sometimes even 1, on condition that customers keep using EMobile Ltd.'s wireless data service for at least two years.

A netbook is a simplified notebook computer with a smaller display and no DVD drive. It is used mainly to surf the Internet and for e-mail.

A netbook usually retails at around 40,000 to 60,000, but EMobile Ltd. has made the huge discounts possible by paying sales incentives to retailers in a bid to gain long-term subscribers of its wireless Internet services.

Total shipments of netbooks soared to 1.2 million units last year, up from 100,000 in 2007, and much of the increase can be attributed to EMobile's so-called one-coin PC campaigns, said Harunobu Tobe, a market researcher at Fuji Chimera Research Institute Inc.

Retailers hope one-coin PCs create new ways of selling computers and potentially broaden the clientele to include even the elderly, many of whom have never previously bought a PC.

"For customers, it is a huge deal that the initial cost is so low," said Tetsuya Watanabe, head of procurement at Yodobashi Camera. "It will spread PCs from 'one per house' to 'one per person.' "

Despite the almost zero yen price campaign, Yodobashi Camera still makes a profit because EMobile pays retailers an undisclosed one-off incentive fee when they sell one of its packages, Watanabe added.

Under the package deal, a consumer must use EMobile's wireless Net connection, which costs between a minimum of 2,900 and a maximum of 6,880 a month, for at least two years. At the start of the third year, the fees are cut to range between 1,000 and 4,980.

Meanwhile, the basic capabilities of computers in the EMobile package are equivalent to many regular notebook computers.

Some of the latest 1 netbook computers packaged with EMobile's data cards are equipped with a 160-gigabyte hard drive, similar to that of regular notebook PCs.

While the low-price package may be a bargain for many computer users who need to use wireless Internet service outside their homes or offices, Japanese PC makers are unhappy, given the extremely low profitability of netbook computers and the entry of strong foreign rivals in the emerging market, analysts said.

The domestic netbook market is dominated by foreign makers, which can cut costs through mass production.

The market for netbook PCs in Japan is dominated by two Taiwan makers, Asustek Computer Inc., which holds a 58.0 percent share, and Acer Inc., with a 20.8 percent share. They are followed by Hewlett-Packard Co. with 7.9 percent and Dell Inc. with 3.8 percent, Fuji Chimera's Tobe said. Japanese PC makers, including Toshiba Corp. and NEC Corp., also make netbooks, but are probably losing money, according to an industry source.

Both Toshiba and NEC declined comment on whether their netbook products are breaking even.

However, the future may not be rosy for EMobile either, and consumers may need to rush if they are interested in the 1 computer campaigns, some analysts said.

EMobile, 37.6 percent owned by telecom company EAccess and 35.7 percent by the Goldman Sachs Group Inc., has never posted a quarterly profit since its inception in January 2005. EMobile spokesman Naomasa Suzuki said the company aims to end the red ink in this year's October-December quarter.

Tobe of Fuji Chimera said he is unsure whether EMobile will ever make money, but praised its strategy of discounting the package of netbook PCs and its data cards to gain long-term customers for its service.

While EMobile has set no date to end the promotion, Tobe said the company may stop the campaign, which is "bleeding" money, sometime soon.

EMobile's Suzuki declined comment on how long the firm will continue to pay retailers an incentive fee, which enables them to offer one-coin PCs.

PC shipments in general will have a tough year due to the recession, Tobe added. Even though hardware prices are extremely low, consumers may be discouraged from paying monthly data transmission fees, he said.

Tobe forecast this year's shipments at a modest 1.6 million units, a conservative estimate given most of last year's shipments of 1.2 million units were made after retailors began the one-coin PC campaign sales in July.



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