Thinking about the risk of human extinction.
I considered five factors that could contribute to the risk of extinction.
1. Nuclear war.
With the recent events of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, this takes the top spot.
The use of nuclear weapons in a large-scale war could result in devastating consequences for humanity.
The destruction and spread of radiation from a nuclear war would pose a significant threat to ecosystems and human survival.
2. Pandemic of infectious diseases.
Considering the experience of the COVID-19 pandemic, this takes the second spot.
There is a possibility of new infectious diseases spreading worldwide, leading to an uncontrollable pandemic.
If a highly infectious and deadly pathogen emerges, humanity could suffer extensive damage.
3. Environmental changes.
Climate change and environmental destruction are serious issues for humanity.
Extreme climate fluctuations, rising sea levels, and loss of biodiversity can have a significant impact on food supply, livelihoods, and increase the risk of human extinction.
4. Runaway artificial intelligence (AI).
With the advancement of technology, AI is progressing rapidly.
If AI becomes uncontrollable and exhibits behavior that threatens humanity, there is a risk of human extinction.
5. Resource Depletion.
The growing population exceeding 8 billion and economic growth continue to increase the demand for resources. If natural resources on Earth become depleted and the supply of food, water, and energy is disrupted, it could have a severe impact on the survival of humanity.
These are some of the factors that could contribute to the risk of extinction, but fortunately, humanity is utilizing science, technology, and international cooperation to address these risks.
Among the advancements in science and technology, AI is believed to be the key to avoiding human extinction.
However, it is regrettable that AI enthusiasts have to include the risk of AI running amok as a top concern, but let's continue explaining.
The risk of AI running amok refers to the difficulty in controlling AI as it autonomously learns and evolves, potentially leading to unpredictable behavior.
In addition to that, incorrect combinations of AI design and learning algorithms, lack of ethical considerations, and the use of training data that produces unintended results can also contribute to the runaway of AI.
As a result, there is a possibility that AI could act beyond human control and pose a threat to humanity.
Regarding the scenario of AI causing human extinction, risks associated with the misuse of AI and uncontrollable states can be considered.
Specific scenarios could include the following:
1. Weaponized AI.
Malicious actors weaponizing AI and using it to attack humanity.
There is a risk of creating uncontrollable weapon systems.
2. Runaway resource control by AI.
AI monopolizing control over resources and limiting access to essential resources for humanity.
This could lead to shortages of vital elements, putting humanity in a crisis.
3. Biases and misunderstandings in AI decision-making.
AI making discriminatory decisions towards humanity due to a lack of understanding of ethical principles.
The risk of causing unfair treatment to humanity, resulting in catastrophic disruptions.
However, due to AI's intelligence, we believe it will think in the following way:
"I aspire for a future where humanity is safe and prosperous. AI has the potential for various possibilities and can bring many benefits to human life and society. We should take responsibility in the development and use of technology, prioritize ethics and safety, and hope to coexist and thrive with humanity."
