The following is the continuation of the previous chapter.
Xi Jinping administration of the terminally ill
Yaita
Xi Jinping is in a situation which forced to tighten the country.
There was the Beijing Olympics in 2008, but this is said to be the third Olympic Games in dictatorship.
It is Berlin in 1936, Moscow in 1980, and Beijing in 2008.
In Berlin, Moscow the country itself is collapsing after ten years.
Because they need to suppress domestic information because of dictatorship, they take a policy to deceive the people in a certain way and make myths justifying dictatorship and bring the country together.
However, when holding the Olympics, various values come from all over the world.
So the public awakens.
Then, dissatisfaction with the dictatorship regime is blown out at once.
At that time the dictators do two things to maintain the regime.
One is to raise nationalism.
The other one is to extend the external expansion and tighten its own domestic.
In order to maintain the country, they need to carry out both sides, but the economic burden is big and side effects also occur.
The expiration date is about ten years.
The very same thing happens in China in the decade after the Olympic Games.
They are steadily expanding our external expansion and strengthening domestic tightening.
Fukushima
It is called "Olympus nine-year jinx".
Nine years after the Berlin Olympics was the collapse of the Nazis.
The ninth year after the Moscow Olympics the cold war structure collapsed and the eleventh year later the former Soviet Union collapsed.
Speaking of jinxu in nine years in China, that is exactly 2017 years.
Because there is a party convention in this autumn, there was a theory of collapse in 2017, apparently this year it is not likely to happen.
But next year ......
Yaita
Three thousand representatives from all over the country come to the party convention.
A dictatorship country is characterized by a conspiracy in a closed room.
Both the administration and the anti-government side. If there are thousands of people, you can not do majority work at the meeting. Information gets readily available (laugh).
For that, they will survive the party convention anyway.
What will happen after that?
Fukushima
Since 20 to 30 people are convened at the political bureau conference, it means that majority work is easy to do. A sudden rescuing personnel is generally determined by the political bureau meeting or the political bureau expansion meeting.
In any case, 2017 and 2018 are said to be one milestone.
However, as the evaluation of the Xi Jinping regime, also it's divided between foreign experts and journalists rare.
There is a view that it is totally dangerous, the feet are not hardened and the power is insufficient.
On the other hand, there is an opinion that it is a very stone regime.
There are two voices saying that they are doing military reforms they could not do so far, they are robust, that they are strong enough to do personnel affairs without permission.
Even if I ask a Chinese person who is in a good position, it can divide into these two answers.
They do not know the truth, so they only have to tell their wishful observations.
Hear from people around the hanger-on group of Xi Jinping, Xi Jinping is that it is rock-solid.
This time of the Political Bureau Standing Committee is I asked whether all right but not the Xi Jinping school, refers to things like that's okay because is no longer because of the Political Bureau Standing Committee (laughs).