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North Korea to Test a Nuclear Missile That Could Strike America This Year

2017年05月12日 04時52分36秒 | Weblog


Dave Majumdar
May 11, 2017
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The U.S. Intelligence Community believes that North Korea will test a long-range intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) this year in an attempt to prove that Kim Jong-un has the capability to strike directly at the American homeland. The North Korean regime has been preparing its new missile for the past several years and has developed miniaturized nuclear warhead designs to fit atop such a weapon.

“North Korea is poised to conduct its first ICBM flight test in 2017 based on public comments that preparations to do so are almost complete and would serve as a milestone toward a more reliable threat to the U.S. mainland,” reads congressional testimony from Daniel Coats, director of National Intelligence. “Pyongyang’s enshrinement of the possession of nuclear weapons in its constitution, while repeatedly stating that nuclear weapons are the basis for its survival, suggests that Kim does not intend to negotiate them away at any price.”

Jeffrey Lewis, Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey told The National Interest that he concurs with Coates’ assessment. “They could flight test anytime,” Lewis said. “The first few tests will probably fail, but I would think somewhere between two to eight tests [is what it will probably take for North Korea to succeed in developing a operational ICBM].”


As might be expected, North Korea has likely learned lessons from its missile tests that will eventually pave the way towards a reliable weapon that could achieve the regime’s goal of hitting the U.S. homeland. “These ballistic missile tests probably shortened North Korea’s pathway toward a reliable ICBM, which largely uses the same technology,” Coats’s testimony states. “Kim was also photographed beside a nuclear warhead design and missile airframes to show that North Korea has warheads small enough to fit on a missile, examining a reentry-vehicle nosecone after a simulated reentry, and overseeing launches from a submarine and from mobile launchers in the field, purportedly simulating nuclear use in warfighting scenarios.”



北朝鮮は、失敗を繰り返しながらも、アメリカに届く核ミサイルの完成に近づいており、今年中にICBMの実験もするだろう、と。
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