ぼやかせていただいております。

トランプ支持層は、宗教、人種、民族的変化についていけない既得権をもった白人階層

2016年11月07日 10時05分19秒 | Weblog



トランプに熱狂する白人労働階級「ヒルビリー」の真実
2016年11月04日(金)17時00分


トランプに熱狂するのは、こうした教育レベルの低い白人階層なんだ、というナラティブがあったんだけど、最近は、そうじゃないんだ、むしろ、富裕な白人階層のほうがより強く彼を支持している、


Anxiety about demographic change

という研究結果が出ているわけですね。

この記事も


同趣旨で、トランプ支持者は主に白人労働者階級ではなく、むしろ不安で一杯の中流階級だ、と。




It’s true that Trump voters are overwhelmingly white and tend to have less formal education than Democratic voters. But they aren't primarily “working class” if that’s defined by income. A senior economist with Gallup, Jonathan Rothwell, studied the data and found that, “if anything, more affluent Americans favor Trump, even among white non-Hispanics.”
That analysis squares with median household income estimates of voters done by FiveThirtyEight, based on exit polling in the primary season.

For Trump voters, it was $72,000. Among Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders voters, it was $61,000. The median household income for the states studied was $56,000.


That's wrong on two levels. It isn’t primarily the white working class that has propelled Trump’s rise. And his supporters are far from forgotten or ignored.

In truth, their power and their voice are far out of proportion to their numbers.


That stark inequality brings into focus a deeper reality: The system has always tilted sharply in favor of the white people who make up Trump’s base. He’s not tapping into the frustrations of the white working class so much as stoking the fears of relatively affluent people who resist the cultural, religious and demographic changes that are happening in America, and are afraid of losing their place—their identity—in the emerging nation. For all his attempts to portray himself as an outsider, Trump is the ultimate establishment candidate. He is the voice, mainly, of people who've benefitted from the rigged system.


Democrats have often been accused of romanticizing the white working class. Recently, author Thomas Frank has indicted the party for abandoning them. But neither claim is quite right. Mostly, Democrats have defended existing programs that benefit the working class without spending much energy to expand them, and without making the case for why it makes sense, morally and economically, to do so.


Trump has partially filled the vacuum left in our politics with his own idiosyncratic brand of populism. But much of the white working class has rejected his bigotry and false promises. The evidence suggests that their minds are open and their votes are winnable, if and when Democrats are serious about reaching out to them.



トランプ、ヒラリー、サンダース支持者で、所得が一番高かったのはトランプ支持者であり、トランプは、人種の人口構成、宗教、民族的に変わりつつあるアメリカについていけず、不安に思っている白人層の心を捉えているわけで、白人労働者についてはサンダースもトランプに迫る支持を得ていたのだ、と。

トランプは自分をアウトサイダーだと自称しているが、とんでもない、かれは、究極の体制側候補者であり、彼は、この不正の制度から得している人々の声を代表しているのだ、と。
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