ぼやかせていただいております。

The real target is China.

2017年04月18日 02時33分09秒 | Weblog



BRUCE CUMINGS:

The fact is that American nuclear intimidation of North Korea goes back to the Korean War. After the Korean War, in 1958, we installed hundreds of nuclear weapons in the south, the first country to bring nuclear weapons onto the peninsula. And North Korea has, essentially, since the late 1950s, had to find a way to deter the U.S. from using those weapons. For decades, they built underground. They have something like 15,000 underground facilities of a national security nature. But it was inevitable that when threatened with nuclear weapons—and Chris is right: President Obama threatened North Korea with nuclear weapons many times by sending B-2 bombers over the south, dropping dummy bombs on islands and so on. It was just inevitable that North Korea would seek a deterrent.


BRUCE CUMINGS:

But I think the crisis that most clearly resembles the one over the weekend, or the one we’re in the middle of now, is in June 1994, when Bill Clinton nearly launched a preemptive strike at the Yongbyon plutonium facility. You may remember that former President Jimmy Carter flew to Pyongyang, had a discussion with Kim Il-sung, and out of that came an 8-year freeze on all of North Korea’s plutonium.

So, an easy way to solve this problem would be to revive direct talks with North Korea, normalize relations with North Korea, assure them that we don’t plan to attack them, and, just through those means, bring down the really terrible tension that existed over the weekend

CHRISTINE HONG:
But I think that there’s a deeper subtext to this, as well. And it goes to the question of THAAD. You know, there isn’t—there’s no way that China and the United States are going to see eye to eye on the controversial deployment of THAAD, which China understands as encroaching upon its sovereignty and enabling the United States to peer, in terms of surveillance, into its territory. Even a CIA official, a former CIA official, Bruce Klingner, who’s a Heritage Foundation North Korea watcher, he basically stated that China regards THAAD as a dagger that’s aimed at the heart of China. And so, you know, basically, what you have is the United States attempting to get China to rein in North Korea, but the fact of the matter is, is if you even look back to the previous administration, the Obama administration, every single weapon sales, every single acceleration of the THAAD missile defense system into the Asia-Pacific, every single amplified and ratcheted-up war game with various different regional allies was justified in the name of a dangerous and unpredictable nuclear North Korea. But China understood full well what was happening, which was the encirclement of China. So North Korea has served as a very convenient ideological ruse for the U.S. military-industrial complex, when the real target is China.



歴史的にいうと、朝鮮戦争後、アメリカは韓国に核兵器をおいて、北朝鮮を脅していたし、最近では、オバマだってB2を飛ばして、北朝鮮を核兵器で脅していたわけで、北朝鮮としても自国防衛のために、抑止する必要がある、と。

そもそも、アメリカは核兵器を持っているくせに、北朝鮮が核兵器を使ったら木炭にしてやるとはいかがなものか、と。

ブルース・カミングス氏も、1994年の米朝枠組み合意をやり直す価値はある、と見ている。

もう一人の論者は、北朝鮮は、米側が地域の軍備力を増強して、中国を封じ込めるために、都合よく使っているだけの悪玉なだけで、中国はそのことをよくわきまえている、とーーーということは、中国に期待しても駄目だよ、ということでしょうね。

もっとも、アメリカは日韓の核武装を抑制しているんだから、中国が、北朝鮮の核武装を抑制すべき、というのは公平に反するともいえまい。

もう一つ言うと、米中そして、北朝鮮の核武装がゆるされるなら、日韓の核武装がゆるされるのが公平。












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