ぼやかせていただいております。

If it is OK for DPRK to go nuke, it should be OK for almost any country to go nuke.

2017年04月19日 17時30分42秒 | Weblog




It won’t happen because there is no good reason why it would, because the motivation for our potential enemies to launch a unilateral thermonuclear attack is far weaker than their reasons for holding back. We may dislike and mistrust governments such as those of China and Russia, as they mistrust us, but the idea of one side nuking the other, and unleashing a massive war that would hurt it as much as us, is self-evidently ridiculous.

Yet this is the reasoning of the US government and the basis of the latest global crisis.

Of the 15,000 nuclear weapons in the world, Kim Jong-un’s are the ones we have the least to worry about.


Even if he was able to crank up an ICBM, wedge on a warhead and lob it with accuracy towards an American city, why would Kim do something so blatantly self-defeating? Vladimir Putin, who commands more than 7,000 of the world’s nuclear weapons, would never dream of it: whatever the eventual outcome, the Third World War would put a serious crimp in some of his most important plans. For Kim, with 20 wobbly nukes against Donald Trump’s 6,900, such an action would be suicidal.


North Korea has one reason for developing nuclear weapons, and one alone — not to invite its own fiery destruction with an unprovoked attack, but to raise to an unacceptable level the cost to the US and South Korea of a regime-changing invasion. One of the laziest of the clichés about Kim is that he is a “madman”. It implies no approval of his cruel regime to assert the opposite: that North Korea’s leaders have displayed a malign brilliance that has allowed them to survive in control of the last Stalinist dictatorship. 


北朝鮮の核は攻撃用ではなく、侵略から守るため。

使ったら北朝鮮自身が殺られるから、使う理由が薄弱

だから、北朝鮮の核兵器を怖がる必要はない、と。

ーーー金正恩が核兵器持っていいなら、ほとんどすべて国が核兵器もっていいことになるが、世界はそうなっていなんだよ、リチャードくん。

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

たしかに、実際的には、北朝鮮の核兵器は米軍による侵略防止。

しかし、理論的には、アメリカの軍事行動を抑止できれば、核兵器のない日韓にはやりたい放題できることになるんだよ。

金正恩がもっていいというんだから、日本や韓国やほとんどすべての国が核武装するのは反対しないよね、リチャードくん。

また、プーチンも使わないような核兵器は使いみちがないからイギリスの非核化に賛成するよね、リチャードくん。




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